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NATIONAL HARBOR, Md. (Reuters) – Conservative activists are enthusiastically taking on Republican President Donald Trump’s re-election rallying cry that his Democratic adversaries are pursuing a radical socialist ideology that may spoil the USA.

Conservative college students, right-wing media personalities and pro-Trump fundraisers and followers have gathered simply exterior Washington this week for the annual Conservative Political Motion Convention (CPAC) that seems to have crystallized Republican messaging for the election.

Its theme was “America vs. Socialism,” taking intention on the candidates competing for the Democratic Occasion’s nomination to problem Trump within the Nov. three election, particularly Senator Bernie Sanders, the present front-runner and a self-described democratic socialist.

In speeches, panels and personal conversations, senior Republican leaders decried socialism, hoping the message will resonate with voters.

“As we watch the rise of socialism at the moment on the ground of the Home of Representatives, on the ground of the USA Senate, and among the many … presidential candidates on the Democratic facet of the aisle, we should be vigilant,” Consultant Liz Cheney of Wyoming stated a session titled “Socialism: Wrecker of Nations and Destroyer of Societies.”

The Democratic candidates are a mixture of moderates resembling former Vice President Joe Biden, businessman Michael Bloomberg, former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg and U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar and candidates additional to the left together with Senator Elizabeth Warren and Sanders. Aside from Sanders, the Democratic candidates don’t establish themselves socialists.

Main Democratic elected officers together with Home of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi have stated socialism is just not the view of their occasion, arguing that it’s Trump and his allies on the fitting who’re out of the political mainstream and a risk to American democracy.

A few of the Democratic candidates have centered on coverage proposals aimed toward decreasing American earnings inequality by steps resembling expanded government-provided healthcare, scholar debt forgiveness and better taxes on the rich. The concept that America’s wealthy ought to pay extra has broad public assist, a Reuters ballot right here present in January.

When accusing Democrats of socialism, conservatives usually point out proposals just like the Medicare for All idea promoted by Sanders and Warren, which proposes changing the present advanced U.S. mixture of personal insurance coverage and public applications with a government-run healthcare system that expands the present Medicare program. The US spends about twice what different high-income nations do on healthcare, whereas tens of millions of Individuals stay with no medical insurance coverage.

‘THERE’S A RUMOR’

From early on on this marketing campaign cycle, Trump has sought to model Democrats as socialists and refers back to the “radical left.” Trump commonly denounces socialism at his rallies, successful applause from supporters.

“I heard there’s a rumor the Democrats are going to alter the title of the occasion from the ‘Democrat Occasion’ to the ‘Socialist Occasion,” Trump stated in remarks in Japan final June.

His promoting outreach to Hispanic voters warned them that Democrats need Venezuela-style socialism, referring to the South American nation led by socialist President Nicolas Maduro that’s gripped by financial disaster.

The Democratic Nationwide Committee denounced the cries of socialism heard on the CPAC occasion.

“That is the oldest trick within the GOP playbook,” stated Daniel Wessel, a DNC spokesman, utilizing shorthand for the Republican Occasion. “Republicans are attempting to distract as a result of they know they will’t win on the problems.”

“In 2017, 2018 and 2019, Democrats received on a message of increasing entry to healthcare,” Wessel added, saying that as Trump works to overturn the Democratic-backed Inexpensive Care Act healthcare legislation and its mandate that insurers should cowl folks with pre-existing medical situations “they’re scared we’ll do it once more.”

As Trump and his allies attempt to paint his Democratic adversaries as socialists, the front-runner standing of Sanders appears to provide them a lift.

“He might win,” stated Charlie Kirk of Turning Level USA, a conservative group centered on younger folks.

“We should always not do what the left did in 2016 and dismiss an outsider populist candidate from considering that particular person can’t win the White Home,” Kirk added, referring to businessman-turned-politician Trump’s election victory 4 years in the past.

“Socialism is seductive,” Okay.T. McFarland, a CPAC speaker and former deputy nationwide safety adviser to Trump, stated in an interview.

“Socialism has failed in every single place it’s ever been tried, in each period, on each continent and amongst each class of individuals,” Vice President Mike Pence informed the gang, whereas urging attendees to speak to youthful voters on in regards to the matter.

At CPAC, the place contributors walked round sporting Trump memorabilia together with “Make America Nice Once more” and “Maintain America Nice” hats, the message appeared to resonate.

“Socialism is creeping up on us,” stated Jonathan Foss, 34, who traveled from Fargo, North Dakota.

Foss stated a Sanders candidacy may be constructive for Trump.

“It’s most likely simpler to fight than possibly somebody like a Bloomberg,” he stated, referring to the rich former New York Metropolis mayor.

Les Smyth, 53, a Republican from Florida who offered Trump-related memorabilia at a CPAC stand, stated he was glad the president moved to tightened social welfare applications resembling meals help.

“I take a look at what works,” Smyth added. “And socialism I don’t suppose will work in any respect.”

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Billionaire environmentalist Tom Steyer, a fierce critic of President Donald Trump who had pushed early for his impeachment, deserted his bid for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination on Saturday after trailing in third place within the South Carolina main, a marketing campaign supply instructed Reuters.

Steyer, who poured tons of of thousands and thousands of {dollars} of his personal cash into his quest, dropped out of the race on the day of his strongest exhibiting but in a 2020 Democratic nominating contest. Even so, he completed far behind winner Joe Biden and second-place finisher Bernie Sanders.

“Truthfully, I can’t see a path the place I can win the presidency,” Steyer instructed supporters in South Carolina.

“I like you very a lot, this has been a terrific expertise, I’ve zero regrets. Assembly you and the folks of America has been a spotlight of my life.”

The 62-year-old former hedge fund supervisor from San Francisco portrayed himself as a political outsider and blasted company cash in U.S. politics in July, when he joined a discipline of two dozen Democrats looking for to disclaim Trump, a Republican, a second time period.

He poured $64.7 million of his personal wealth in January into his bid for the Democratic nomination, bringing his complete marketing campaign spending to $267 million.

Like fellow billionaire Michael Bloomberg, Steyer drew criticism from different Democrats as attempting to purchase his strategy to the nomination. Spending tens of thousands and thousands of {dollars}, nonetheless, didn’t win the extent of assist from voters wanted.

Steyer stated he would assist the eventual Democratic nominee.

Steyer amassed a fortune, estimated by Forbes journal at $1.6 billion, after founding funding agency Farallon Capital Administration within the mid-1980s and serving as a companion at San Francisco personal fairness agency Hellman & Friedman.

In January 2019, he had stated he was passing on a 2020 run to concentrate on efforts to question Trump and get Democrats elected to the U.S. Congress.

Steyer has been a drive in Democratic fundraising over the previous decade. Throughout the 2018 election cycle, he was the second-largest donor to Democratic and liberal candidates and causes, in response to the Middle for Responsive Politics.

He has labored for years on local weather change and voter engagement and donated about $170 million since 2015 to his impartial political motion committees, Must Impeach and NextGen America.

Steyer billed himself as the one candidate who would make local weather change his No. 1 precedence as president. “It’s a state of emergency and I’d declare a state of emergency on Day One,” he stated throughout a November debate.

COLUMBIA, S.C. (Reuters) – An outpouring of black voter assist propelled Joe Biden to a convincing victory in South Carolina’s Democratic major on Saturday, resurrecting his faltering White Home bid and giving the previous vp an opportunity to assert he’s the average different to front-runner Bernie Sanders.

The decisive win offers Biden a burst of momentum within the Democratic race to problem Republican President Donald Trump, which broadens shortly with Tremendous Tuesday primaries in 14 states in three days that can award one-third of the accessible nationwide delegates.

It was the primary presidential major win ever for Biden, who’s making his third run on the White Home.

He instantly took purpose at Sanders, an impartial senator from Vermont and self-described democratic socialist whose surging marketing campaign and requires a political revolution have rattled a Democratic institution nervous he’s too far left to beat Trump in November.

“Democrats desire a nominee who’s a Democrat,” Biden instructed cheering supporters in Columbia, South Carolina, in a jab at Sanders. “Win large or lose, that’s the selection. Most Individuals don’t need the promise of a revolution. They need greater than guarantees they need outcomes.”

Biden beat Sanders amongst a variety of demographic and ideological teams, together with those that mentioned they have been “very liberal,” in accordance with Edison Analysis exit polls. The polls confirmed Biden, vp beneath former President Barack Obama, with 61% of African-American assist to Sanders’ 17%.

Within the wake of his decisive victory, Biden was endorsed by Terry McAuliffe, a former governor of Virginia and ex-chair of the Democratic Nationwide Committee, and U.S. Consultant Bobby Scott, an influential African-American lawmaker from Virginia – a attainable signal the Democratic institution was beginning to coalesce round his candidacy.

Biden should now hope a flurry of media consideration and his identify recognition will assist him in Tremendous Tuesday states, the place Sanders’ prolific fundraising has helped him construct greater organizations and broadcast way more ads. Sanders leads opinion polls in delegate-rich California, the place three million early votes have already been solid.

  • Factbox: Seven Democrats nonetheless within the struggle for U.S. presidential nomination

Biden and the entire different Democratic contenders additionally will face competitors for the primary time on Tremendous Tuesday from billionaire former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who has blanketed the nation with half a billion {dollars} in promoting. Bloomberg skipped the primary 4 state primaries.

However no less than 5 states – Alabama, North Carolina, Tennessee, Arkansas, and Virginia – have large blocs of African-American voters that would assist Biden make a comeback.

Biden’s dominance in South Carolina raised questions concerning the continued viability of a lot of the different contenders. Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar all have been properly behind within the state and have dwindling probabilities to mount a comeback.

With 99% of the precincts reporting, Biden had 49% of the vote and Sanders was a distant second with 20%, in accordance with official state outcomes. Billionaire activist Tom Steyer had 11% and the entire different contenders have been properly behind with single digits.

Edison Analysis estimated 530,000 votes have been solid within the Democratic major, properly forward of the 371,000 solid in 2016 and about the identical quantity as 2008.

STEYER DROPS OUT

Because the vote depend rolled in on Saturday evening, Steyer, who had spent closely in South Carolina to court docket African-American voters, ended his presidential bid because it emerged he was coming in a distant third.

Biden desperately wanted a win after poor showings within the first two nominating contests in Iowa and New Hampshire and a second-place end in Nevada. He had considered South Carolina, the place his recognition among the many state’s large bloc of black voters proved decisive, as his firewall in opposition to catastrophe.

The resounding margin might gradual the momentum of Sanders, who had grown stronger with every contest, ending in a digital tie for first in Iowa with Buttigieg, earlier than notching wins in New Hampshire and Nevada.

“You can’t win all of them,” Sanders instructed supporters in Virginia Seashore, Virginia. “This is not going to be the one defeat. There are numerous states on this nation and no one wins all of them.”

Biden, a mainstream Democrat with many years of expertise on the U.S. political stage, was powered in South Carolina by assist from a broad vary of voters, together with women and men, black and white, middle-aged and previous, these with and with out faculty levels, impartial, liberal and conservative, exit polls confirmed.

The information confirmed Biden beating Sanders, who has touted his capability to convey out new voters, amongst those that have been voting in a Democratic major for the primary time.

Exit polls discovered about six of 10 of South Carolina voters mentioned influential black congressman James Clyburn’s endorsement of Biden on Wednesday was an element of their choice. Clyburn launched Biden at his victory rally.

“My buddy Jim Clyburn, you introduced me again!” Biden instructed the No. three Home Democrat earlier than addressing supporters.

Biden was projected to win no less than 32 of the 54 pledged delegates in South Carolina and Sanders 11, with extra to be allotted. No different candidate was projected to have gained any delegates within the state. Heading into the first, Sanders had 54 delegates, Buttigieg 26 and Biden 15.

A candidate wants no less than 1,991 delegates to win the nomination outright on the occasion’s conference in July.

Exit polls confirmed about half of voters needed a candidate who would return to Obama’s insurance policies, a key argument of Biden. Almost eight of 10 voters in South Carolina mentioned they’d a good view of Biden, in contrast with 5 of 10 who noticed rival Sanders favorably.

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The polls additionally confirmed Buttigieg and Klobuchar, who had performed comparatively properly in predominantly white Iowa and New Hampshire, had low single-digit assist amongst black voters, elevating questions on their path ahead because the race strikes into extra various states in March.

Warren, who completed fifth with 7%, congratulated Biden on his victory at a rally in Houston however made clear that she would go on combating for delegates.

“I’ll be the primary to say that the primary 4 contests haven’t gone precisely as I’d hoped,” she mentioned, earlier than urging supporters to donate to her marketing campaign. “My marketing campaign is constructed for the lengthy haul and we’re wanting ahead to those large contests.”

MONTGOMERY, Ala. – Joe Biden obtained the win in South Carolina he desperately wanted.

The previous vp’s decisive victory on Saturday, his first within the Democratic nominating contests for the Nov. three election, permits him to extra credibly declare that he’s the main different to front-runner Bernie Sanders.

However Biden faces important hurdles. He has simply two days to capitalize on the win forward of Tremendous Tuesday, when 14 states maintain contests and greater than a 3rd of Democratic delegates are awarded.

His cash-strapped marketing campaign has been unable to promote closely in delegate-rich states comparable to California, Texas, North Carolina and Virginia, which vote on Tuesday. Nor has he been capable of compete with the ground-level operations established by Sanders and billionaire former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

As a substitute, Biden will rely on a flurry of recent media consideration – coupled with excessive identify recognition because the No. 2 to Barack Obama, the primary black U.S. president – to energy his bid for the social gathering’s nomination to problem Republican President Donald Trump.

Together with his new momentum, Biden hopes to spice up his delegate haul from the Southern states in Tuesday’s voting to counter Sanders, whose grassroots military and intensive outreach to Hispanic communities might give him a lift in Texas and California.

Six of the states voting on Tuesday are within the South, which like South Carolina have a extra various inhabitants than the voting states the place Biden fared poorly. Exit ballot knowledge confirmed he gained the assist from 61% of black voters in South Carolina, far surpassing Sanders’ 17%.

Biden additionally will lastly go head-to-head with Bloomberg, who skipped the early states and has spent greater than $500 million on promoting in a bid to grow to be the Democrats’ reasonable standard-bearer.

Biden and an outdoor group that helps him have spent $16.5 million, in response to the Wesleyan Media Undertaking.

“We don’t have as many assets as Mr. Bloomberg, however we consider that we’ve finished our work and albeit we do consider that the momentum from this week will assist propel us into Tremendous Tuesday,” stated Biden adviser Symone Sanders.

Biden’s struggles within the first two nominating contests in Iowa and New Hampshire made South Carolina so essential that he was unable to marketing campaign elsewhere. A visit to North Carolina on Saturday was his first to that state since October.

In contrast, Sanders, who gained New Hampshire and Nevada, was capable of marketing campaign in locations comparable to Colorado and Texas.

At Biden’s victory social gathering on Saturday, Consultant James Clyburn of South Carolina, whose last-minute endorsement gave Biden a heady increase, stated the Biden marketing campaign wanted to enhance its fundraising efforts.

“All of us have to take a seat down and get severe about how we retool this marketing campaign,” he instructed CNN on Saturday. “I’m not going to take a seat again idly and watch folks mishandle this marketing campaign.”

‘A SHAKEUP IS COMING’

“We’re excited tonight,” a supply near the Biden marketing campaign stated on Saturday. “As quickly because the booze subsides, and we sober up tomorrow morning, we’ll see a marketing campaign that’s poor, disorganized and skeletal in essential states throughout the nation. A shakeup is coming, and we’re prepared for it.”

South Carolina might assist push some cautious donors off the sidelines for Biden. A number of Wall Avenue donors instructed Reuters final week they have been able to assist Biden if he confirmed he might win convincingly in South Carolina and on Tremendous Tuesday.

Rufus Gifford, the finance chairman of Obama’s 2012 marketing campaign, stated he acquired about 100 messages on Twitter on Saturday night time after he requested different candidates’ supporters to return over to Biden.

“Individuals wish to assist a winner,” Gifford stated. “Because the reasonable lane begins to grasp Joe Biden is one of the best different, they’ll coalesce round him.”

After debating between Biden and former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg for months, Gifford determined to again Biden in late January and has shortly engaged his huge donor community on Biden’s behalf.

Biden ended January with simply $7.1 million in money, lower than sufficient to cowl one month’s bills for his marketing campaign, in response to a marketing campaign finance disclosure filed in February. That compares with $16.eight million for Sanders and Bloomberg’s wealth of greater than $55 billion, in response to the publication Forbes.

A spike in on-line fundraising, together with the marketing campaign’s greatest one-day haul on Wednesday, confirmed Biden’s candidacy might be strengthening.

Any inflow of money following South Carolina will possible arrive too late to be of a lot use for Tremendous Tuesday however might assist the marketing campaign in key later massive voting states comparable to Florida.

PIVOTING SOUTH

Alabama, the place Biden will marketing campaign on Sunday, is a first-rate instance of his Tremendous Tuesday technique.

The marketing campaign is concentrating on congressional districts such because the state’s seventh district, which is greater than 60% black. Biden gained endorsements from the U.S. congresswoman for the district, Terri Sewell, and Birmingham Mayor Randall Woodfin.

“We all know that the tide is popping,” Sewell stated. “We’ve been ready for South Carolina as a result of we all know that South Carolina demographics actually replicate, largely, the demographics of America.”

The Biden marketing campaign has launched a six-figure promoting marketing campaign, together with digital, radio and tv spots throughout the Tremendous Tuesday states, however in restricted areas and largely aimed toward black voters. The adverts is not going to be working on tv in California, the largest delegate prize on Tremendous Tuesday.

Which means Biden’s tv advert that includes reward from Obama will virtually certainly be seen by fewer folks than those that noticed a Bloomberg advert touting his personal relationship with Obama, nonetheless fashionable amongst Democrats.

Mary Curry, an 83-year-old black voter in Raleigh, North Carolina, stated early nominating states didn’t signify the nation’s variety and that Biden can unify the nation.

“He represents the entire folks,” she stated. “There aren’t many people in Iowa.”

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders could also be surging within the polls forward of Tremendous Tuesday, however some on Wall Road have made their very own conclusions on what November will convey: 4 extra years of President Donald Trump.

Ninety-five p.c of contributors in a Deutsche Financial institution survey of traders, economists and different market contributors launched earlier this month stated Trump, a Republican, was both “extraordinarily possible” or “barely possible” to win the overall election.

These outcomes distinction with some wider current polls cited on RealClearPolitics, which present any Democrat beating Trump in a presidential contest, though prime contenders have an even bigger lead. The most recent Reuters/Ipsos ballot, performed Feb. 19-25, confirmed Sanders with a seven percentage-point lead over Trump in a hypothetical common election matchup.

The sharp mismatch in expectations may stoke market volatility if Wall Streeters are mistaken and a Democrat emerges victorious – particularly if that winner is Sanders, whose guarantees to interrupt up large banks, tackle drug corporations and primarily abolish personal insurance coverage in favor of a single government-run plan have unnerved some traders. Many on Wall Road had been unprepared for Trump’s win in 2016, which was adopted by sharp swings in asset costs.

“As an investor, I take a look at this and say the market’s nightmare situation is that Bernie or Elizabeth Warren wins the election,” stated Phil Orlando, chief fairness market strategist at Federated Traders, in New York. “That’s not our base case … but it surely’s a priority,” he stated.

Warren’s coverage proposals, like Sanders’, have additionally jangled nerves on Wall Road.

Traders shall be waiting for subsequent Tuesday, when 14 states will forged ballots and Sanders may construct an amazing benefit if he captures the lion’s share of the obtainable delegates.

These primaries come because the markets are gripped by considerations over the financial fallout from the spreading coronavirus outbreak, with the variety of instances past China accelerating quickly. U.S. shares had been extending the week’s losses on Friday and had been on monitor for a seventh day within the crimson after the S&P 500 .SPX on Thursday confirmed its quickest correction in historical past.

Orlando stated Sanders’ rise within the polls additionally contributed to the current sell-off. Some traders famous that continued volatility in markets or an financial downturn may put on away at Trump’s help.

Whereas the market gyrations are more likely to drown out among the potential impression from subsequent week’s voting outcomes, some corners are already feeling the results of Sanders’ current success.

After Sanders’ commanding victory within the Nevada caucuses in February, shares of insurers equivalent to UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH.N) and Centene Corp (CNC.N) offered off on what some analysts stated had been considerations over the potential of a Sanders nomination.

“If Bernie runs the desk and immediately he turns into unstoppable, I believe we’re going to see the jitters once more,” stated Teresa McRoberts, a portfolio supervisor targeted on healthcare at Fred Alger Administration in New York.

(Graphic: Sanders nomination odds vs well being insurer shares- right here)

The consequences on the broader market of an enormous Sanders win on Tuesday are much less clear. Solely 13% of contributors in Deutsche Financial institution’s ballot believed Sanders may beat Trump within the common election, in contrast with 22% for former Vice President Joe Biden and 45% for former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

Gary Bradshaw, portfolio supervisor at Hodges Capital Administration in Dallas, Texas, has stored most of his consideration on the coronavirus outbreak in current days and isn’t desperate to make any election-related portfolio strikes but.

“I believe most of my shoppers just about are like me, pondering Trump goes win,” he stated.

Nonetheless, some traders consider the election can gasoline market swings this yr.

Quantity on the October futures contract VXc8 for the Cboe Volatility Index hit 16,247 between Jan. 2 and Feb. 21, in accordance with Cboe World Markets (CBOE.Z). That dwarfs the 471 contracts that traded in 2016 from Jan. four to Feb. 19. VIX futures replicate expectations for volatility within the month following their expiration.

On Thursday, October VIX futures traded at 22.5, versus 19.57 for September futures VXc7 and 20.22 for November futures VXc9, indicating heightened expectations for volatility close to election day.

Cboe World Markets listed October VIX futures a month sooner than regular in response to clients keen to position bets on election-induced volatility, stated Kevin Davitt, senior teacher on the trade’s choices institute. The trade additionally listed September and November futures forward of their regular schedule.

Invoice Northey, senior funding director at U.S. Financial institution Wealth Administration, stated the election will turn into a higher concern for traders as soon as the Democratic celebration selects its nominee.

“There are a variety of locations the place the coverage divides are extremely vast,” he stated.

(Graphic: Positioning for U.S. election volatility – right here)